Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Beware the Chop - Vacationing Traders

I just realized why there is so much chop in market of late. Many/most of the traders at trading blogs I follow are on vacation (including Jamie and Trader-X). Without those market movers, we are left with chop as shown on the SPY chart below. There is nothing remotely resembling a trend day over the last 5 days. The good news is that consolidation is either accumulation or distribution and will eventually lead to a nice expansion move (up/down?).
This morning VRTX hit my scanner based on %change from open and big volume. The daily had broken out above a trendline and the 15min setup a low-risk entry at the 30min ORH. It easily reached the 62% extension of the OR and went beyond. Even when the overall market is in chop mode, a strong setup in an individual stock can lead to a trend day (i.e., opens near the low/high and closes near the high/low).

3 comments:

bl said...

I think we are back filling from the recent low's monster rally, waiting around for the bank problems to resolve itself, eps season, and swine flue. I'm finding power point moves(not %) off the open with little/none gaps in stocks >$30: pre wlp cstr tech pcar bwld. It's a quick 1-2 pts no long wl proceedure.

Jim said...

bl,

I hear ya. Staying too long would give back most profits in this overall consol. Just when the market gets us trained to that behavior it will start trending again.

Trader Bots said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.