Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Dummy Gapper Trade of the Day - Nash-Finch Company (Public, NASDAQ:NAFC)

I ran a momentum scan midday and found NAFC. The scan looks for NASDAQ stocks trading at 20% higher volume and 10% higher price than the previous day. Since I run this scan late in the morning, I'm looking for a normal retracement from the morning swing high to set up a second leg. I define a normal retracement as 38% from the ORL to the morning swing high. The other criteria to look for is lower volume on the retracement (higher volume is indicative of a reversal) and that price does not breach the rising 20 period ema on the retracement.

NAFC had an orderly retracement and stopped at the 38% Fib level, however, it didn't carve out an obvious candlestick reversal pattern, so I waited until price took out the previous red bar before entering long. I took a partial as price retested the morning swing high and held the balance for an additional 38% Fib. extension.


CAL was a play on lower oil. After gapping open it retraced and swung back above the ORH on a WR bullish bar then printed 2 inside bars in the upper range of the WRB, setting up a low risk long.

7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Jamie,
For reversal trades like NAFC, if there is no prior red bar, would you have just entered on break of prior bar high?

YR

TJ said...

Hi YR,

You have to ensure that that the 38% retracement is going to stick, and that it isn't just a pause in a deeper retracement. I like to have a candlestick reversal pattern or strong pivot or support area as confirmation that the setup is a good one.

Jerry said...

Did you enter CAl on break of 6th bar high?

Great lesson on NAFC.

TJ said...

Thanks Jerry,

My entry was off of the 5th bar, but the 6th bar high is a good entry as well because the 5 ema is closer.

Anonymous said...

Hi Jamie !

Could you please provide me with the properties of the "momentum scan", I want to setup the one in the stockcharts.com (if its possible)

thanx,
Kogi

TJ said...

Kogi,
I also use Stockcharts.com real time to run intraday scans. Here are the parameters I use for momentum. I adjust percentage price increase based on the number of hits.

For the last intraday update:
• NASDAQ Stocks with...
• 50-day Simple Moving Average of Volume for today is greater than 100000
• 50-day Simple Moving Average of Close for today is greater than 1
• Daily Volume for today is greater than Daily Volume for yesterday times 1.2
• Daily Close for today is greater than Daily Close for yesterday times 1.1

Anonymous said...

Thanx a lot !