Thursday, June 05, 2008

Trading The Plan

My personal trading list (after nightly review of the daily WL charts) for today was as follows:

AMZN B&B $82.00, CTSH B&B $36.00, NKE B&B $69.00, JOYG Bull Flag $85.00, ESRX symmetrical triangle on the daily, ENER break of 3 NRIBs on daily. I also wanted to catch HANS which has been running without me lately, and NIHD, a HCPG pick from yesterday which I missed but could catch on a pullback/continuation play.

So what happens when everything breaks simultaneously on the open? I knew we would have a strong open following the less than estimated job claims because the futures started running up at a good clip on that economic release.

At the end of the day, the entire trading list posted gains topped by HANS 7+%, followed closely by ENER. The worst performer was ESRX just 1.3%. The average was approx. 3.5%.

Usually when I put a trading list together, I'm hopeful of 2-3 good candidates. Today I managed to catch a piece of 6/8 names. Which ones did I miss? The E's ESRX because I didn't like the choppy mess in early trade and ENER because it went vertical off the open :( Almost 4 pts. in less than 30 minutes). That's the power of NRIBs!

Got an early start by placing a buy stop order for CTSH at $36.02 as the market was about to open. Used the pre-market low around $35.85 as my stop.

AMZN - missed $82.00 but found a mini base at $83.00. First exit is a partial, followed by a stop out.

HANS - Thought this one was going to run away from me again, but I liked the base at R2 and it was obvious this was going to fill the gap on the daily. R2 held as support in the afternoon, so this was a double play. Makes up partially for missing the run up in the past days.

NKE - I wanted to get the BO of the base at the lower blue line, but was distracted and missed it. Took the break of the swing high instead.

JOYG - Wanted to enter on the three pivot B&B at $85.50, but missed it and waited for price to consolidate (bull flag). Stopped out on a bearish rounded top and re-entered later at the exact same price for another pt. JOYG trading in the daily spot - they usually run to the end of the session.

NIHD - At the time I set this up as a C&H B&B. Nice volume on the BO bar and then no follow through. Hate when that happens. Took a partial at the 62% Fib. extension of the low of the cup to base because there wasn't enough volume. Stopped out shortly after. Notice how it also came back to my initial entry point late in the session for a nice bounce.



Thanks to HCPG, I'm really liking the 3 minute time frame. I can see the bases forming much more clearly than the 5 min.

Institutional buying was in play today. This usually happens once or twice per month (near beg. and end) in bull markets. Prices spike off the open and just keep running. After the early run, pullbacks are generally shallow and many stocks close near the highs of the day.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Jamie,

How do you prepare your watchlist of shares which are not gappers at the same day, like in this case - most of the shares are not gappers and they are still in your list based on pivot points, however it means that you have manually to review all shares to find whether they approaching pivot points or not.

thanx in advance !

Kogi

OONR7 said...

all hail the king. Wow.

Anonymous said...

I like your blog, but am new. You mention narrow range inside bars. What criteria are you using in the scan? NR, IB compared to the last day; the last several days? Any guidance is appreciated.

TJ said...

Kogi,

Yes, it is a manual review. I have a watch list of approx. 50 stocks that I review every night. First I look at the daily timeframe and if I see a compelling setup, I plot my support resistance lines.

Then I review the HCPG trading list and pick the best ones from their list to add to my own.

Takes about 30 minutes each night.

TJ said...

OONR7,

An exhilarating and exhausting day. Can't imagine trading like this everyday.

TJ said...

Nick, to scan for inside bars, look for a lower high, higher low, and lower volume. The combination of price and volume contraction is the key to finding stocks that will likely expand.

After running the scan, it's a matter of reviewing all the charts for the best candidates.

Anonymous said...

Thanks Jamie. I don't think I phrased my question right - I meant, are you looking for NR3, NR5, as well as IBs? It sounds like you are looking at ibs and then reading charts to find the best setup...am I correct? I was just wondering if there were any other parameters you consider.

Thanks again.

TJ said...

Nick,

That's correct just IBs. I would love to have an intraday scan for NR7 IBs on the 15 minute timeframe, but I'm not a very sophisticated programmer. So I have to rely on somebody else to develop a program.

As far as daily scans, I think I might be able to develop an NR4 and NR7 IB scan through stockcharts.com, using a combination of the range, IB and volume functions.

That would probably give me some higher quality scans with fewer hits.

Thanks for the ideas. Good Trading!