
I went long on the retest and drew in the black trendline. Price moved above the original BO point, retested and made a new high. In the process, it carved out a shooting star, and I immediately sold, thinking H&S top. The green line segment is the neckline and the red line segment was meant to be the shoulder line. But the shoulder didn't break and prices printed new highs. At that point you have to draw a new trendline for accuracy. A trendline must touch a minor low that generates a higher high. So the black trendline is replaced by the blue trendline.
I didn't want to chase, so I waited for the next pullback to the trendline. As prices kept going higher, I grew increasingly impatient, but it really doesn't pay to chase and most of us traders learned this the hard way. Prices tested the trendline and set up a solid little base to go long again.
2 comments:
Very nice reading of a one minute chart, but do you think that candle patterns (e.g. that shooting star) are worthwhile on a one minute chart?
Thanks
Thanks John,
According to Edwards and Magee, 20% of H&S tops fail. But the shooting star immediately following a swing high on a 1 minute chart such as this, almost always results in a sizable pullback. If I wait to see if the pattern will succeed, I'll end up giving back too much profit. Yesterday's late entry meant that I was predisposed to exit at the first hint of trouble.
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