ANR gapped up on the open and quickly rose to the top of my Watch List in terms of % gain. I missed the open, so by the time I got back, it was already printing some red. As it retraced, I saw an orderly pullback towards the rising 5 period EMA. By orderly I mean small, tight, red candles with no overlapping bodies on declining volume (retracement candles should be smaller than the trend candles otherwise it might be a reversal).
I was watching it on the lower time frames as well. On the 1 min. chart, I look for price to carve out a higher low to indicate that the retracement is over. Then I look for a base. The circles on the chart below mark areas where price pivots and changes direction. This is the base and as soon as I identify a higher low, I prepare to enter if it makes sense on the 15 minute time frame above. I use the previous bar low on the 15 min. as my initial stop.
As you can see everything gelled. Price retraced 50 % of the move from the ORL to the swing high on declining volume. The 5 period ema and price came together at that level.
Today was a down day for the market with most of the WL printing red ink so I wasn't looking for a home run, just a retest of the morning swing high. That target was achieved very quickly. I was hoping for a C&H pattern to develop later on, but that fell through around 2:00.
6 comments:
Very clear and useful explanation of how you work with the different time frames. I appreciate it.
Thanks.
Welcome Anarco,
More confidence when everything is synchronized.
rev. my brother,
i did the exact same trade and came out at the ORH ..and i was also looking for C/H pattern but that was too choppy so left it half way//
But the question is:
you said " I missed the open, so by the time I got back, it was already printing some red"
i was there all along..but you have written elsewhere not to jump on the trade but let to come back to 5 EMA on 15 min time frama..if you did go into trade much before, you would be violating that rule.
andy
Very nice trade Jamie. Many thanks for your through explanations - much appreciated! Good Luck,
JL
Andy,
Not all retracements back to the 5 ema offer good trading opps. Just trying to frame it for new traders.
Thanks JL,
Good trading!
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